Probability

out of 10
 * Pretest **

1.9 Probability and statistics. The student displays data in an organized form. 1.9A Collect and sort data 1.10 Probability and statistics. The student uses information from organized data. 1.10B Identify events as certain or impossible such as drawing a red crayon from a bag of green crayons.
 * TEKS: **


 * Core Components: **

1.9A and 1.10B
 * Discerns that some things are certain to happen while other things are not certain to happen.
 * Discerns that it is impossible for some things to happen and possible for other things to happen.
 * Collects, records, and organizes data collected from everyday experiences

**Vocabulary: certain, impossible, likely, unlikely**


 * Whole Group Mini Lesson: **

Recommended ARRC Lessons:

Teaching Student-Centered Mathematics Grades K-3 by John A. Van de Walle -Activity 12.1 page 332- Is It Likely?

NCTM Navigations-Navigating Through Data Analysis and Probability in grades PreK-2- “Possible or Impossible” pg 65-66

Investigations Texas Curriculum Unit “Certain or Impossible,” pg. 24

enVisionMath-Topic 20 – Data Graphs & Probability Lesson 9 – p. 589A Lesson 10 – p. 593A

Engaged Learning Options: Create spinners for games using paper clip with pencil point Play tic tac toe – predict the probability of x or o winning each time as certain or impossible

Independent Activities



**Questioning:**

What is data? What can it look like? What can we do with the information, or data, that we collect? What does it mean to say something is impossible? What does it mean to say something is certain? What conclusions can we draw from recorded data?


 * Literature Connection-**
 * __Probably Pistachio__ by Stuart J. Murphy (about probability), it’s a Math Start book (in TVE Library)
 * __Fortunately__ by Remy Charlip (in Lit Library)
 * __It’s Probably Penny__ by Loreen Leedy (in TVE Library)


 * Technology Connection-**

From likelihood to frequency to prediction, introduce young students to the basic concepts of **probability**. All content is tied to national standards and benchmarks. ||  ||
 * **Full Video ** || [|**Discovering Math: Probability (Grades K-2)**] (12:49)

Probability Online Quiz for first graders []